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DHT: 11CSV

03 Sept 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.5%
Stuttgart
15.6%
Draw
8.9%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

2.65

Stuttgart

vs
0.84

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.7%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
3.8%
0-0
3.5%
5-0
3.3%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).