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04 Feb 2021 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.3%
Trabzonspor
21.4%
Draw
10.4%
Denizlispor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

Trabzonspor

vs
0.90

Denizlispor

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).