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HHT: 11

05 Oct 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.7%
Mjällby
23.0%
Draw
6.3%
Västerås SK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Mjällby

vs
0.36

Västerås SK

Markets

BTTS25.8%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.5%
2-0
18.5%
0-0
13.2%
3-0
10.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
4-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-0
1.6%
1-2
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).