Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Livorno
30.8%
Draw
41.8%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Livorno
vs
1.28
Lecce
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
9.0%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).