Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Almeria
22.3%
Draw
17.4%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Almeria
vs
0.86
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).