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AHT: 03

04 May 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.5%
Öster
20.0%
Draw
69.5%
Hammarby

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Öster

vs
2.21

Hammarby

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.5%
0-1
10.4%
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.2%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
0-4
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
1-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).