Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.2%
Lille
15.4%
Draw
13.4%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Lille
vs
1.05
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
4-0
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).