Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Ponferradina
28.1%
Draw
41.5%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Ponferradina
vs
1.25
Granada
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
13.0%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).