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18 Sept 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Dijon
26.3%
Draw
47.7%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Dijon

vs
1.31

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.8%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).