Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Metz
19.7%
Draw
19.9%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Metz
vs
1.03
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.5%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).