Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Hitchin Town
27.9%
Draw
45.5%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Hitchin Town
vs
1.27
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).