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25 Sept 2019 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.4%
Trapani
28.5%
Draw
38.1%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Trapani

vs
1.37

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).