Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Southend
25.0%
Draw
17.0%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Southend
vs
0.86
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).