Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Harborough Town
20.2%
Draw
28.0%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Harborough Town
vs
1.55
Bury
Markets
BTTS69.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.0%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
3-2
4.9%
3-0
4.1%
0-1
4.1%
2-3
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).