Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Alanyaspor
26.9%
Draw
9.5%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Alanyaspor
vs
0.61
Yeni Malatyaspor
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.5%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.0%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).