Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Schalke 04
26.9%
Draw
42.2%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Schalke 04
vs
1.56
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).