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DHT: 00CSV

10 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.3%
Panionios
32.4%
Draw
31.3%
Atromitos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Panionios

vs
1.00

Atromitos

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).