Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.2%
Eastleigh
15.2%
Draw
76.5%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Eastleigh
vs
2.70
Notts County
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.8%
0-3
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
1-3
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-1
7.1%
0-4
6.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
0-5
3.6%
0-0
3.5%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).