Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Brentford
28.0%
Draw
25.5%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Brentford
vs
1.05
QPR
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).