Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Hannover
26.8%
Draw
30.3%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Hannover
vs
1.31
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).