Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Ponferradina
26.6%
Draw
36.2%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Ponferradina
vs
1.25
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).