Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Welling United
26.1%
Draw
58.4%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Welling United
vs
1.45
Bury
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.1%
0-2
13.6%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
2.4%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).