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AHT: 10CSV

24 Sept 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
Morecambe
24.4%
Draw
53.1%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Morecambe

vs
1.86

Halifax

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).