Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
Lugo
30.6%
Draw
48.6%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Lugo
vs
1.18
Albacete
Markets
BTTS33.4%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.8%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
4.4%
2-1
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).