Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Truro
28.5%
Draw
43.3%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Truro
vs
1.43
Sutton
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).