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HHT: 20CSV

13 Jan 2022 · 19:30

Monza

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.0%
Benevento
28.7%
Draw
50.3%
Monza

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Benevento

vs
1.49

Monza

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).