Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Lincoln
14.1%
Draw
10.2%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Lincoln
vs
0.80
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
3-0
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
6.6%
4-0
6.2%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
3.7%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
3.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).