Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Reading
19.5%
Draw
16.8%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Reading
vs
0.86
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).