Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
QPR
22.2%
Draw
58.7%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
QPR
vs
2.10
Fulham
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.7%
0-1
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
4.7%
2-3
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).