Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Villarreal B
29.8%
Draw
48.7%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Villarreal B
vs
1.22
Alaves
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.9%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-3
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).