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DHT: 01CSV

20 Jan 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.5%
Darmstadt
16.8%
Draw
71.7%
Ein Frankfurt

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Darmstadt

vs
2.61

Ein Frankfurt

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
0-1
6.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
4.0%
2-1
3.5%
0-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).