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14 Sept 2024 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Chornomorets
33.3%
Draw
33.7%
Inhulets

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Chornomorets

vs
0.92

Inhulets

Markets

BTTS36.4%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.527.9%
Over 3.511.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.4%
0-1
14.3%
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).