Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Mjällby
29.5%
Draw
16.5%
Djurgården
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Mjällby
vs
0.69
Djurgården
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).