Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Bologna
27.1%
Draw
48.0%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Bologna
vs
1.38
Roma
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
10.0%
0-2
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).