Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.1%
Toulouse
11.9%
Draw
7.0%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
Toulouse
vs
0.65
Caen
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
5.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
3.0%
0-1
2.8%
5-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).