Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Crewe
21.2%
Draw
17.6%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Crewe
vs
0.89
Newport County
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).