Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Ascoli
30.7%
Draw
22.6%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Ascoli
vs
0.85
Crotone
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).