Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Cagliari
18.6%
Draw
18.6%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Cagliari
vs
1.21
Crotone
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
0-1
3.6%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).