Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Oxford
23.8%
Draw
29.6%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Oxford
vs
1.12
Bolton
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).