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28 Sept 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.6%
Kharkiv
37.0%
Draw
15.4%
Kolos Kovalivka

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Kharkiv

vs
0.42

Kolos Kovalivka

Markets

BTTS21.4%
Over 0.574.5%
Over 1.540.4%
Over 2.516.2%
Over 3.55.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
25.5%
1-0
23.9%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.4%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-0
3.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
2-2
1.0%
4-0
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).