Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Ferrol
19.6%
Draw
68.4%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Ferrol
vs
2.01
Santander
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
0-3
9.0%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.3%
1-0
4.7%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).