⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 00CSV

06 Oct 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
37.2%
Cordoba
21.9%
Draw
40.9%
Almeria

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Cordoba

vs
1.82

Almeria

Markets

BTTS68.8%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-2
4.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).