Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.4%
Truro
24.3%
Draw
62.3%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Truro
vs
1.78
Southend
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).