Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Hamburg
27.4%
Draw
18.8%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Hamburg
vs
0.81
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).