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DHT: 10

31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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96.0%
Halesowen Town
2.6%
Draw
1.4%
Biggleswade

Expected Goals (xG)

5.94

Halesowen Town

vs
1.06

Biggleswade

Markets

BTTS65.3%
Over 0.599.9%
Over 1.599.2%
Over 2.596.9%
Over 3.591.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

5-1
6.2%
5-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
4-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
5-2
3.3%
4-2
2.8%
3-2
1.9%
2-1
1.8%
2-0
1.7%
5-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).