Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Mirandes
27.9%
Draw
46.8%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Mirandes
vs
1.32
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).