Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.9%
Norwich
24.3%
Draw
61.9%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Norwich
vs
1.91
Burnley
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).