Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Mallorca
29.1%
Draw
42.8%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Mallorca
vs
1.20
Elche
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).