Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Preston
29.6%
Draw
27.1%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Preston
vs
0.99
Luton
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).