Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.7%
Dijon
18.4%
Draw
68.9%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Dijon
vs
2.14
Lyon
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).